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Poll Shows Eric Guerra in Strong Position to Win Assembly Race


Sacramento, CA — The run-off race for the new Assembly District 10 is a dead heat according to a poll commissioned by the Eric Guerra for Assembly campaign. After basic information, Guerra surges ahead. With a larger electorate that magnifies his base, Eric Guerra is in a strong position going into the November election.


In a poll conducted by EMC Research between July 28 and August 2, 2022, Guerra was a statistical dead heat with Stephanie Nguyen in the first ask and surged to a commanding 7% lead over Nguyen based on balanced positive information about the two candidates taken from the ballot statement and June voter communication.


“The race for 10th Assembly District is a dead heat,” said EMC President Ruth Bernstein. “Eric Guerra is not only competitive in this race, but our poll shows that as soon as voters learn basic information about each candidate taken from the ballot statement, Eric Guerra surges to a 5% point lead over Nguyen. After excluding the 60% of mostly Republicans who say they will not vote for either Democrat in this race, Guerra surges to a clear majority with a 52% to 46% lead.”


Eric Guerra has also picked up significant endorsements across a wide political spectrum including frontline healthcare workers like the California Nurses Association to the California Medical Association and Planned Parenthood Advocates Mar Monte to the California Labor Federation. He has also received endorsements from the California Professional Firefighters of Elk Grove and Sacramento.


The new Assembly District 10 is neither a City of Sacramento seat, nor an Elk Grove seat. Elk Grove and the City of Sacramento have nearly the same number of voters– and when you look at just the Democratic vote, it is even closer because Elk Grove has a higher percentage of Republicans. The population of the district is almost evenly split between Latinos and members of the AAPI communities. 


Guerra has also been endorsed by the California Democratic Party, U.S. Senator Alex Padilla, Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Thurmond, Assemblymember Cecilia Aguiar-Curry, City Councilmember Mai Vang, former Elk Grove Mayor Gary Davis and Elk Grove Unified School District Board Member Nancy Chaires Espinoza.


Guerra has been on the Sacramento City Council since 2015, winning three elections to his District 6 seat. He has championed issues on housing, job creation, childcare resources, air quality improvement, and direct services for families. He has also served on several regional boards and commissions including the County of Sacramento Planning Commission, the Sacramento Air Quality Management District and the Sacramento Public Library Commission. 


Eric Guerra has called Sacramento home for over 20 years serving on the CSU Board of Trustees as an appointee of the Governor, President of the Tahoe Park Neighborhood Association, Chairman of the Sacramento County Planning Commission and President of the Sacramento State Alumni Association. He graduated from Sac State with a Bachelor of Science in Electrical and Electronic Engineering and a Master of Public Policy and Administration. With over 18 years working in the Legislature, Eric knows how to get things done. He lives with his wife and sons in the Tahoe Park neighborhood.


Visit to view a full list of endorsements and to learn more about the campaign. 


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